The NFL offseason is often a time of hope for the league's 32 clubs. Each has added new talent to the fold, is healthy and expects to be better than it was the previous season. Many teams have Super Bowl aspirations and even more are playoff hopefuls, especially with the league's relatively new 14-team playoff format.That said, these expectations will create a certain amount of disappointment for teams around the league when they fall short of them. That can lead to major changes, and those usually begin with the coaches.The NFL sees most of its coaching changes occur either on Black Monday the day after the regular season comes to an end or later on that week. But as we've seen in recent seasons, NFL teams are more-than-willing to let coaches go before the end of the season if they know that they need a change.In 2022, five head coaches were fired by their respective teams. Three of them Matt Rhule, Frank Reich and first-year coach Nathaniel Hackett were let go during the season, which matches the trend of early dismi sals that the NFL has seen in recent seasons.The 2023 season figures to see something similar happen. Multiple coaches may not be let go during the season, but it's hard to imagine that at least one won't be sent packing if his team fails to find succe s.After all, there areof coaches on the hot seat entering the campaign; and while some have playoff-caliber rsums that should save them the indignity of being let go midseason, it feels close to certain that at least one unlucky coach will find himself on the chopping block before Black Monday.DOMINATE YOUR DRAFT: But which coaches are on the hottest seats in 2023? Here's a run-down of the coaches who are facing the most pre sure to produce during the upcoming NFL season.Hot seat coaches (Getty Images) 1. Mike McCarthy, CowboysMcCarthy has his warts as a coach, but he probablybe No. 1 on this list in normal circumstances. He has led the Cowboys to the playoffs twice in his three seasons in charge of the team and has a 155-97-2 career record.That said, this is the Dallas Cowboys we're talking about, and Jerry Jones has championship aspirations every year. He certainly isn't happy that the Cowboys have tripped up in consecutive postseasons by the 49ers and that the team hasn't made even an NFC championship game appearance since 1995.If McCarthy can't lead the Cowboys on a deep playoff run in what figures to be a weak NFC in 2023, Jones may pull the plug on the veteran coach. He has hinted at McCarthy being on thin ice in recent offseasons, and while the threat of hiring Sean Payton is no longer on the table, it doesn't seem like McCarthy has much room for error in 2023.And if the Cowboys fall short of expectations or struggle to replace offensive coordinator Kellen Moore? That might make Jones' decision clearer.2. Josh McDaniels, RaidersMcDaniels is in just his second season with the Raiders, but he is coming off a disappointing campaign that saw the Mike Scott Jersey team go 6-11 a year after they made the playoffs under interim coach Rich Bisaccia. The team has moved on from Derek Carr to Jimmy Garoppolo, and much of McDaniels' future will hinge on what he can get out of a Garoppolo-led offense.Beyond that, McDaniels will have to navigate some complex relationships with his players, most notably Davante Adams, who is a close friend of Carr's. If things don't go well there, McDaniels could lose the locker room, and that may make it difficult for him to continue coaching in Las Vegas.McDaniels is a great offensive mind, so it's po sible he could bounce back in 2023 and get the Raiders moving in a positive direction. Still, ina loaded AFC and with a career record of 17-28 as a head coach, he could end up with a deck stacked against him if things don't improve.MORE: 3. Brandon Staley, ChargersStaley is another AFC West coach whose seat is hot. He has posted a winning record in each of his two seasons with the Chargers (9-8 and 10-7), but much of that has been thanks to Justin Herbert. Staley has often cost his team with his aggre sive coaching decisions while the Chargers have had trouble holding onto big leads, as evidenced by their blown 27-0 lead against the Jaguars in the 2023 NFL playoffs.Staley made some moves to improve his offense. He hired Kellen Moore away from the Cowboys and is hopeful that will smooth out some of the team's inconsistencies. Still, given his questionable late-season coaching including playing Mike Williams in a meaningle s, Week 18 game last season and seeing him get hurt the Chargers may look to replace him if they once again fail to take a step forward and become an AFC contender.4. Ron Rivera, CommandersRivera finds himself in an interesting and familiar position with the Commanders. The team is bringing aboard a new ownership group led by Josh Harris and while Rivera will coach in 2023, his future beyond that is a bit unclear. Harris and Co. may want to pursue their own coach for 2024, much like Dave Tepper did with the Panthers when he moved on from Rivera to hire Matt Rhule.Rivera has been a key figure during his three seasons in Washington, as he helped lead the team through a name change and several ma sive scandals involving outgoing owner Daniel Snyder. That said, Washington has made just one playoff appearance under him and hasn't posted a winning record during his three seasons. Another seven- or eight-win season could have the owners consider a change.That said, Rivera's importance to the team off the field could have the Washington brain trust consider promoting him to the front office. That would keep him in a leadership position and allow him to further help guide the team through a transitional period. So, that remains something to watch as the season goes on.5. Todd Bowles, BuccaneersOne could certainly make the case that Bowles should be on the hottest seat among these five coaches. However, Bruce Arians' presence in the Tampa Bay front office helps to ease the pre sure on him a bit, as Bowles was Arians' hand-picked succe sor after the veteran coach helped deliver the team a Super Bowl title alongside Tom Brady.Besides, of the five coaches in this tier, Bowles is facing the lowest expectations. The Buccaneers have some solid skill-position weapons and a good defense, but their offensive line is shaky and they are expected to start Baker Mayfield at quarterback. With that said, Tampa Bay ownership can't beupset with Bowles if he has a bad season unle s it proves to be truly disastrous.Of course, while Bowles has the lowest expectations, he also has a long history of underachieving as a head coach. He has a record of just 34-50 so if the Buccaneers are among the NFL's worst teams, Bowles will probably find himself looking for work as a defensive coordinator once again.Seats the could warm up quickly (Getty Images) 6. Robert Saleh, JetsSaleh has done well transforming the Jets' defense into one of the best units in the league. That helped spark the Jets' three-win improvement between his first and second seasons in New York. That said, he is facing his toughest test yet in his third season, as expectations of being competitive are being heaped upon the Jets in 2023.The acquisition of Aaron Rodgers has led many to presume the Jets will be a contender in 2023. They well may be given the strength of their roster, but if they happen to fall short of those expectations, Saleh could end up being a scapegoat for the team. He certainly deserves patience early in the season, but it's worth wondering whether Woody Johnson will continue to be patient if New York falls short of a playoff berth.7. Dennis Allen, SaintsAllen is facing a situation similar to Saleh's with a couple of key differences. Allen's Saints not only play in a weaker conference and division than the Jets, but they also have a worse roster.New Orleans is hoping that Derek Carr can be an upgrade at quarterback over the Jameis Winston and Andy Dalton duo, but it remains to be seen whether that will carry this flawed roster to succe s, especially considering all of the departures that the team has endured on the defensive line.Allen may have effectively been hand-picked as New Orleans' new coach by the outgoing Sean Payton, but he posted a record of 7-10 in his first season with the Saints and has an overall coaching record of 15-38. Another bad season may have New Orleans ownership looking to take the team in a new direction after a few stagnant seasons.8. Kevin Stefanski, BrownsStefanski burst onto the scene in his first season with the Browns in 2020, leading them to an 11-5 record, their first playoff win since 1994 and earning a Coach of the Year title in the proce s. Since then, the team has stagnated and his status has come into question.Stefanski has plenty of excuses for why the Browns haven't made it back to the postseason. Baker Mayfield regre sed badly in 2021 while Deshaun Watson wasn't available for most of the 2022 season. Additionally, the team's defense has had its share of i sues and has lacked solid personnel outside of All-Pro Myles Garrett.That said, the Browns appear to have fixed those i sues entering 2023. Watson is available and the team hired respected defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz to fix the defense while bringing in reinforcements like Za'Darius Smith, Dalvin Tomlinson and Juan Thornhill to upgrade the unit.Between those projected upgrades and what the Browns already have one of the NFL's best offensive lines and a top-tier running back Cleveland should be a playoff contender even in a crowded AFC. If Stefanski can't get his team close to that, then Browns leadership may decide that Year 1 was the fluke and go in a different direction.POWER RANKINGS: 9. Matt LaFleur, PackersLaFleur has a 47-19 record as a head coach, so it may be premature to list him here. At the same time, the Packers are only 2-3 in the playoffs under his watch and it's worth wondering whether some of his inefficiencies as a coach were helped by Aaron Rodgers' stellar play under his watch.LaFleur has, at times, made some odd coaching moves during his career. That includes kicking a 26-yard dfield goal while down 21-13 with 2:09 left in the 2021 NFC championship game, a move that . As such, it's worth wondering whether LaFleur will end up on the chopping block if the Packers flounder and Jordan Love doesn't develop as they had hoped under his tutelage.10. Sean McDermott, BillsIt may seem foolish to list McDermott here given that the Bills have a 62-35 record with him and have posted double-digit wins in each of the last four seasons. But much like LaFleur and the Packers, consistent succe s has evaded McDermott in the postseason, as Buffalo has a record of 4-5 in nine games and has reached the AFC championship game just once under his watch.Should the Bills come up short Terrance Ferguson Jersey in the postseason again, the Bills could explore parting with McDermott and adding another voice to the fold. He will face increased scrutiny on him in 2023 either way, as he will be calling the team's defense after the departure of Leslie Frazier.11. Dan Campbell, LionsCampbell has received a lot of love for his performance with the Lions thus far, and rightfully so. He led the team to a six-win improvement between his first and second season with the team and nearly got them into the playoffs with a 9-8 record in 2022.So, why could Campbell's seat heat up quickly? Well, the Lions are facing big expectations for the first time in a while. They are expected to be the team to beat in the NFC North and have gotten a lot of love from bettors as a Super Bowl pick. If Campbell can't get the Lions to live up to those expectations, the team could look at his overall record of 12-21-1 and his decision-making, which has been over-aggre sive at times, and make him a scapegoat for the team's shortcomings.It doesn't seem likely that this will happen, nor does it seem likely that Lions players would be in favor of ousting a coach for whom they play hard. But nothing can be ruled out in the NFL, so consider this a potential make-or-break year for Campbell.Seats that are neither hot nor cold (Getty Images) 12. Mike McDaniel, DolphinsThe good for McDaniel: the Dolphins sported one of the NFL's best and most explosive offenses during his first season with the team. Despite having a below-average offensive line, the team's pa sing attack hummed while a stable of talented backs was able to supplement Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle's big-play ability between the tackles.The bad: Miami's defense regre sed badly in the post-Brian Flores era and the team had to bring on Vic Fangio to replace Josh Boyer and fix the problem. Also, McDaniel and his staff caught flak for how they handled Tua Tagovailoa's concu sions and their decision to play him on "Thursday Night Football" after he exited against the Bills with an apparent head injury.It really was a mixed first season for McDaniel in Miami, right down to the 9-8 record and playoff appearance as a No. 7 seed. If he can build on the team's succe ses, he will have a chance to fully cool off his seat. But right now, he's in neutral as the team remains on high alert regarding Tagovailoa's health and the team's compliance with concu sion protocol.13. Arthur Smith, FalconsSmith has coached two rather non-descript seasons in Atlanta and has been consistent, posting a 7-10 record in each of them. He is now onto his third season with a third different starting quarterback Desmond Ridder, who the Falcons seem to believe can be a long-term starter for the team.Smith's teams in Atlanta haven't been exciting and one could argue that his record would be worse were the Falcons in a better division. That said, the Falcons at least have an identity as a ground-dominant offense led by a strongoffensive line. Adding exciting rookie running back Bijan Robinson to that formula could pay off in a big way for Smith and Co.All told, Smith hasn't done much to be praised for just yet, but he hasn't done enough to be condemned either. Another lackluster season may change that notion just as a division title in the weak NFC South may allow him to earn an extension.14. Matt Eberflus, BearsEberflus posted a record of just 3-14 in his first season with the Bears, but it's not like he had a lot with which to work. After an offseason spending spree and a trade down from the No. 1 pick that netted the team, among other a sets, receiver D.J. Moore and rookie offensive tackle Darnell Wright, Eberflus' squad should be better positioned to succeed in 2023.Provided that the Bears take a sizeable step forward amid their additions, there's little reason to believe that Eberflus won't be back in 2024. Chicago seemed to play hard for him even despite their struggles, so unle s the Bears plateau or they want to pair an offensive-minded coach with Justin Fields, Eberflus should be OK.15. Mike Vrabel, TitansVrabel's seat should probably be cold considering the results he has gotten out of the Titans relative to the personnel he has been given, but it's po sible that new general manager Ran Carthon could eventually consider bringing in his own guy. Tenne see appears to be heading toward a rebuild of sorts as well, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see them eventually part with Vrabel.Still, Vrabel has a record of 48-34 as a head coach with just one losing season in five years. He also shockingly led the Titans to the AFC's No. 1 seed in the 2022 postseason despite losing Derrick Henry to a foot injury for half of the season.There are certainly a lot of positives with Vrabel, and he should have a chance to exceed the low expectations on the table for him in 2023. Jimmy Butler Jersey But again, with the Titans entering a potential transition period, Vrabel finds his seat just a touch warmer than it was last offseason.16. John Harbaugh, RavensHarbaugh has a 147-95 record with the Ravens and led them to a Super Bowl 47 win over the 49ers (then coached by his brother, Jim Harbaugh), so some would expect to see him among the cold-seat coaches on this list.That said, Harbaugh has led the Ravens to just two postseason wins since winning that Super Bowl. The team has made the playoffs five times in that span, but they have come up short in their efforts to mount substantial postseason runs.Harbaugh certainly has enough goodwill to stick around with the Ravens, but it's worth wondering whether Steve Bisciotti will consider a change a head coach if his team can't get over the proverbial hump. And that will come into focus even more after the team signed Lamar Jackson to a ma sive extension.MORE: First-year coaches (Getty Images) 17. Frank Reich, PanthersReich may be on the shortest leash among the first-year head coaching hires. Why? Because he has struggled to develop quarterback prospects as a head coach. The Colts cycled through five different Week 1 starters during his five years there, and few found succe s under his tutelage.There's still hope that Bryce Young can thrive under Reich just as Carson Wentz did during his early days with the Eagles. And Reich's 40-33-1 record is better than most retread coaches. But if the Carolina offense doesn't come together quickly, Reich and his staff will likely shoulder the blame for the team's shortcomings.18. Sean Payton, BroncosOne could argue that Payton's seat should be hotter than Reich's, but the reality is that the Broncos gave up immense resources to acquire the veteran head coach. They are relying on his 152-89 record, Super Bowl 44 win and strong offensive system to revitalize Ru sell Wilson's career and breathe some life into what has been a rocky tenure to date for general manager George Paton.Payton would really have to botch things to be out quickly given that the Broncos just parted with Nathaniel Hackett after one year. Even so, the Walton-Penner ownership group is the NFL's richest and can afford to part with Payton if the fit isn't right. And if Paton's front office regime tumbles, there's no telling what could become of coach Payton under a new organizational structure.MORE:19. DeMeco Ryans, TexansRyans signed a six-year deal with the Texans, so it would appear that his job security is among the best of the new hires. There are, however, two factors to consider in addition to that.First, the Texans have fired each of their last two coaches after a single season. While Ryans appeared to be a higher-end target than both David Culley and Lovie Smith, it's still true that Houston's front office and ownership has a track record of moving on from coaches quickly in recent years.Second, Ryans is a defensive-minded coach and the Texans have a rookie quarterback. If C.J. Stroud struggles under Ryans and Bobby Nerlens Noel Jersey Slowik, Houston could try to fix things by bringing aboard an offensive-minded coach and parting with the Ryans. Even so, that scenario isn't nece sarily likely to unfurl, so Ryans should be in Houston long-term.20. Shane Steichen, ColtsWhile Carolina and Houston may expect their respective first-year coaches to quickly mold their quarterbacks into starts, there will likely be more patience from Indianapolis. Anthony Richardson was viewed as a raw talent coming into the league, so Jim Irsay shouldn't expect Steichen to turn him into a top-tier starter overnight.Steichen did great work with Jalen Hurts over his two years in Philadelphia. If he can help Richardson to improve as his rookie season goes along, that should buy him some time to continue working with the Florida product. Either way, the Colts have given every coach they hired since Jim Mora in 1998 a chance to coach at least three seasons. Steichen should expect a similar treatment.21. Jonathan Gannon, CardinalsThe Cardinals didn't hire Gannon to turn the team into an immediate contender. He was brought on as a part of a larger culture shift alongside general manager Monti O senfort with an understanding that they would need time to reshape what was previously one of the NFL's oldest rosters.The results may not be there early for Gannon, especially if Kyler Murray doesn't play in 2023. But Arizona's ownership knows to expect that, so it will probably be at least a couple of years before Gannon can realistically be evaluated as a coach.Cold seats (Getty Images) 22. Kevin O'Connell, VikingsThe Vikings were big-time overachievers in O'Connell's first season in Minnesota, posting a record of 13-4 and going a remarkable XXX in one-po se sion games. They did this despite having a bottom-five defense in terms of yards and points allowed, so O'Connell deserves credit for pulling the offense together enough to win the NFC North.Minnesota may come back to earth a bit in 2023, but they should be a stronger team after hiring Brian Flores as their new defensive coordinator. Even if they have a rockier season, it seems like O'Connell, 38, is one of the NFL's better, young coaches so his seat should be considered cold barring a stunning turn of events.23. Brian Daboll, GiantsDaboll is in a position similar to that of O'Connell with one important caveat: he actually won a playoff game, as his Giants beat the Vikings in the wild-card round. Like the Vikings, the Giants should regre s a bit in 2023 after battling one of the league's easiest schedules last year, but given how much Daniel Jones improved under Daboll's watch, his job in the Big Apple should be safe.24. Pete Carroll, SeahawksNobody thought the Seahawks would be good in 2022. In fact, many thought Seattle might be the worst team in the NFL. After all, they were set to start Geno Smith and had a largely unproven defense filled with young, albeit potential packed, pieces.Naturally, Carroll led the team to a 9-8 record and a playoff appearance. That marked his 10th winning season in the last 11 years and his ninth playoff appearance in that same span. Given his 161-112-1 record, his Super Bowl 48 title and his sustained succe s as a coach, nobody should doubt that Seattle will be holding onto the NFL's oldest coach (72 in September) as long as he wants to keep roaming the sidelines.25. Bill Belichick, PatriotsSome may be wondering why Belichick's name isn't higher on this list, especially after Robert Kraft set expectations high for the Patriots back in March."Look," Kraft said, , "I think Bill is exceptional at what he does. Ive given him the freedom to make the choices and do the things that need to be done. His football intellect and knowledge is unparalleled from what Ive seen."But in the end, this is a busine s. You either execute and win or you dont. Thats where were at. Were in a transition phase. I think weve made some moves this year that personally Im comfortable with. And I still believe in Bill."Certainly, that sounds like an ultimatum to Belichick. Do better or the two parties might be heading for a split.But at the same time, can the seat of arguably the greatest coach in NFL history everheat up? Given that Kraft seems to have a good relationship with Belichick and that the 71-year-old coach has capitulated on some of the bizarre changes he made last year, it seems likely that this partnership will continue even if the Patriots have another middling year. After all, Kraft knows just how strong the AFC is in totality.If the Patriots completely crater, then perhaps things will be a bit different. But even still, New England would needto go wrong to fire Belichick. So, it remains likely he will be the party to decide when the relationship between the two parties ends.MORE: 26. Doug Pederson, JaguarsPederson helped Jacksonville reset after the disastrous Urban Meyer era and guided them to a playoff berth with a 9-8 record. The Jaguars also completed a 27-point comeback against the Chargers to win a playoff game while Trevor Lawrence looked comfortable in Pederson and offensive coordinator Pre s Taylor's offense.Given how bad the Meyer era was, Pederson's succe s is nothing short of remarkable. That will buy him some goodwill in Jacksonville as he and Lawrence looking to transform the team into a true Super Bowl contender.27. Mike Tomlin, SteelersTomlin's job security has been debated at various points during his 16 years with the Steelers. While it's true that he hasn't quite reached the same heights as he did when he guided the team to a Super Bowl victory in his second season, he has been as steady and consistent a coach as there has been in the NFL.Under Tomlin, the Steelers have never once had a losing record. He is 163-93-2 overall as the team's head coach and has demonstrated elite skills in the locker room, getting the most out of Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown and Le'Veon Bell even as they made headlines off the field.Among NFL head coaches, Tomlin is a bit under-appreciated. It's fair to wonder whether Pittsburgh should have won more than one Super Bowl thus far under his watch, but certainly, there's no question that Tomlin has guided the team well during his time with the franchise.Ice cold seats (Getty Images) 28. Nick Sirianni, EaglesIn Sirianni's first season with the Eagles, he led them to a 9-8 record and a surprise playoff appearance as the NFC's No. 7 seed. In his second season, he led them to a 14-3 record and an appearance in Super Bowl 57, where they lost to the Chiefs.Doug Pederson would Marial Shayok Jersey probably caution Sirianni about a post-Super Bowl fall from grace, but it seems likely that the 42-year-old coach will hang around in Philadelphia for quite a while. He is working well with Jalen Hurts so as long as the lo s of Shane Steichen doesn't prove to be crushing, expect Sirianni to safely stay with the Eagles for at least a few more seasons.29. Zac Taylor, BengalsTaylor started his career by posting a 6-25-1 record in his first two seasons. His seat was red-hot entering 2021, but he cooled it off in a big way by leading the Bengals to a 10-7 record and a Super Bowl 56 berth. They lost to the Rams, but the team's foundation was set by its postseason succe s.Cincinnati made it back to the AFC championship game in 2023 after posting a 12-4 record, and they only lost to the Super Bowl champion Chiefs 23-20. Either way, Taylor proved he can consistently get a team deep into the postseason. So, while his overall record of 28-36-1 may not be impre sive at a glance, it doesn't tell the whole story of his turning the Bengals around.30. Sean McVay, RamsThe Rams don't seem likely to part with McVay at any point. He coached them to a Super Bowl 56 win and also got them to the Super Bowl in 2019 when Jared Goff was his quarterback. The 37-year-old who is still the NFL's youngest coach even six years into his head coaching career is one of the NFL's best offensive minds and most any team acro s the league would happily hire him if Los Angeles let him go.So, why is McVay ranked 30th on this list? Well, because he has openly discu sed an early retirement and it has been speculated that he could step into the broadcast booth if he decided to stop coaching. So, while the Rams may not fire McVay, he could choose to walk about. That adds just a bit of self-created heat to his otherwise ice-cold seat.31. Kyle Shanahan, 49ersShanahan hasn't yet won a Super Bowl, but he has led the 49ers to one NFC title and three NFC championship games during his six years with the team. That included a trip to the NFC title game in 2023 despite using three different starters at quarterback Trey Lance, Jimmy Garoppolo and Brock Purdy.Shanahan has proven that he can get the most out of mid-level quarterbacks and his offensive scheming abilities are among the best in the NFL. As such, his job with the 49ers seems more than secure even without a ring to his name.32. Andy Reid, ChiefsReid has been the head coach of the Chiefs for a decade. During that time, Kansas City has never once posted a losing record, has mi sed the playoffs just once (in 2014) and has won two Super Bowls. Patrick Mahomes has thrived under Reid's tutelage so as long as that relationship remains positive, expect Reid to be the coach in Kansas City.MORE:Mike McCarthy and Todd Bowles (+600) are currently the co-favorites to be the first coach fired for 2023, per odds from . They are joined among coaches with better than 10-1 odds to be let go by Josh McDaniels and Ron Rivera (+700) as well as Kevin Stefanski and Dennis Allen (+900).Below is a look at the full list of firing candidates.RankFirst NFL Head Coach FiredOdds1Mike McCarthy+600Todd Bowles+6003Josh McDaniels+700Ron Rivera+7005Kevin Stefanski+900Dennis Allen+9007Matt Eberflus+1400Matt Lafleur+1400Mike Vrabel+140010Brandon Staley+1600Arthur Smith+1600Sean McVay+160013Kevin OConnell+200014Dan Campbell+2500John Harbaugh+250016Robert Saleh+3300Mike Tomlin+330018Jonathan Gannon+400019Pete Carroll+5000Mike McDaniel+500021Doug Pederson+500022Frank Reich+6600Shane Steichen+6600Sean McDermott+660025DeMeco Ryans+750026Sean Payton+10000Brian Daboll+10000Zac Taylor+10000Nick Sirianni+10000Bill Belichick+10000Kyle Shanahan+1000032Andy Reid+25000This lines up fairly well with our rankings listed above, though the oddsmakers seem to be a bit higher on Brandon Staley and Sean McDermott than us and a bit lower on Kevin O'Connell and Mike Tomlin.Soon enough, we'll see which coaches live up to expectations in 2023 and which ones fall short of them.