Packers vs. Raiders prediction preview odds best bets picks for Week 5 Monday Night Football
It' Tyler Clippard Jersey s officially "Spooky Season" as the calendar has now flipped to October, leaving behind all that we accomplished in September. It's a new month to get into the green, and we plan on helping our cause with one of the NFL's spookiest fanbases. Davante Adams will seek revenge on his old friends from Green Bay when the Raiders host the Packers on Monday night (8:15 p.m. ET, ABC).Jordan Love will hope to silence the noise and continue what's been a start to the season that's exceeded expectations. Life after Aaron Rodgers continues in the Sin City, as the Packers try to atone for their sins in Week 4 when they laid an egg against the Lions on Thursday night.Unfortunately for them, you don't need an egg to make cheese, and the Cheeseheads have come close to cracking more often than not this season. The Raiders, however, aren't getting any love ahead of this showdown from bettors and the media. They'll have to resort to getting to Love by themselves, shutting down the quarterback who has earned his fair share of headlines through the first month.It will require the help of Jimmy Garoppolo and a struggling Raiders offense along with some sound decision-making from a head coach that constantly has us scratching our heads. If this sounds like more trick than treat, you haven't seen what the sportsbooks have given us to work with yet. Here's how you can defy the odds and beat the books in Vegas.Spread:Packers -1 (-110) | Raiders +1 (-110)Total:OVER 44.5 (-110 Houston Astros Jersey ) | UNDER 44.5 (-110)Moneyline:Packers -115 | Raiders -105Oddsmakers have set this game with a one-point spread with a modest total of 44.5, likely already factoring in Jimmy Garoppolo returning from his concu sion. With this game e sentially at a pick 'em, you're only taking the spread as insurance for a push in the event of a Raiders' lo s or to claim victory if there's an unlikely tie. Otherwise, we're looking to pick Monday night's winner. Let's talk through it.Your last chance to win money on the NFL in Week 5 comes with a game in Sin City. Typically, a last-ditch effort to win in Vegas is the city's final opportunity to pry every last penny away from you. We believe that's what the sportsbooks have cooked up for Monday night in what looks to be the cla sic trap game. Whether you're riding high or at the lowest of lows, Monday comes and the sun rises for everyone. "There's no way the Packers can lose this game, right? How is this game almost at a pick 'em?"That's what you'll ask yourself before hitting that green button to place the wager. These Raiders might be bad, but they're better than you give them credit for. If anything, the Packers might be overrated coming into this game. Too many people are expecting a bounce-back performance, after they expected to see Green Bay deliver a wake-up call on Thursday night against the Lions. Jordan Love has been fine, even if he isn't always on time with the throws, and the Packers' offense is getting healthier. Our real i sue lies with the defense. Green Bay hasn't been great against the run, something Vegas would love to establish on Monday night. Seeing a defense allowing 155.3 rushing yards per game, third worst in the league, should be music to Josh Jacobs' ears.Garoppolo has been a one-man wrecking crew for the Raiders this season, doing to his receivers the NFL equivalent of pushing someone into oncoming traffic. If he can avoid a few of those concu sion-inducing throws, Vegas has enough to come out on top and save Josh McDaniels' job, even if it isn't technically in jeopardy. Expect the Raiders to keep the ball on the ground and mix in the perfect amount of an extra-motivated Davante Adams for the win. We'll , and trust his team to get the job done at home to put a nice bow on what will hopefully be a profitable weekend.Our Pick:Raiders +1 (-110), though it's smarter to just take the Raiders' moneyline (-105) hereFinal Houston Astros Jersey score prediction:Raiders 20, Packers 17UPDATE 10/9:Following all of the injury news surrounding this game, the Raiders have moved to 2.5 point favorites. It's quite the swing from earlier in the week, but we still like the Raiders to get the job done. This feels like a field goal game though, so don't go any higher than 2.5 on the spread if you want to tail our pick.We've had six "Monday Night Football" games thus far in 2023 and only one of them has gone OVER this number. They've been low-scoring games headlined by bad offense and better defense. Teams are still easing their way into the season and figuring things out after most players were held out of meaningful preseason action. That doesn't seem likely to change this week, as the Raiders have been adamant in their desire to run the ball. If they step up their efficiency on the ground, we are looking at yet another low-scoring game on Monday night. We can feel that coming in the air tonight (and every night). Take the UNDER, and based on our final score prediction, there's some wiggle room to go a little lower, too.Our Pick: UNDER 44.5 (-110)UPDATE 10/9:The total has actually climbed a point to 45.5, making us love our pick even more.Josh Jacobs, RB, Raiders OVER 65.5 rushing yardsUPDATE 10/9:This number has climbed significantly to 74. Justin Verlander Jersey 5, so we hope you got in early here. We're still willing to go over here thanks to the workload Jacobs will get, but our confidence isn't as high after a ma sive nine yard swing.Jacobs has carried the ball a lot in 2023-- 62 times to be exact. In order, he's had 19, 9, 17, and 17 carries through the first four weeks, but he's only averaging 2.7 yards per carry. It's not an ideal spot to be in, but if there was ever a get-right game, it's taking place on Monday night. Granted, Jacobs couldn't exploit a poor Broncos' front either in Week 1, but he's improved in recent weeks, going for 62 and 58 yards on the ground. Our Sporting News betting team hasn't experienced much luck in trusting Jacobs in 2023, but that simply means we are due, per the law of averages. There's also a real reason to believe, though -- the Packers' subpar run defense.Win BIG with SuperDraft!Green Bay sports the 11th-worst run defense according to , so we are bound to witne s a battle between the Houston Astros Custom Jersey unstoppable force and immovable object. Either one of the league's worst rushing teams figures it out or one of the worst run defenses gets right. After Green Bay surrendered 121 yards on 32 carries to David Montgomery last week, we expect another physical runner in Jacobs to leave his mark on this game. In fact, it's how the Raiders can win and get to 2-3. Since we have Vegas claiming victory, it only makes sense that their star running back finds his groove in the proce s. Take the OVER.