NFL Survivor Pool Picks Week 2 Best strategy tips advice
Two of last week's top-five NFL survivor pool picks, Minnesota and Kansas City, lost, continuing a trend of underdogs wreaking havoc on football pools that started last year. Who should be on upset alert in Week 2?In this post, we analyze the Week 2 survivor pool picks that have emerged as the most popular pick options and discu s their pros and cons. Week 2 has several big-name contenders, including the 49ers, Cowboys, and Bills, in the running as potentially attractive survivor picks on Sunday, and the Eagles kick things off Thursday night with a game of survivor relevance.This analysis is brought to you by , the only site that harne ses the power of algorithms to maximize your edge in NFL survivor pools. Since 2017, PoolGenius subscribers have reported over $5.7 million in survivor pool winnings using the site's customized picks and tools.Free Survivor Pool PicksBefore we dive into the analysis, PoolGenius has some special offers for Sporting News readers Kareem Hunt Jersey , including up to 55 percent off football subscriptions and a free all-acce s trial.EXPERT PICKS: FREE TRIAL: SEASON DISCOUNTS: The five teams below are the most popular NFL survivor picks of Week 2, according to the biggest survivor pool hosting sites. There's a good chance that you're probably considering at least one of them.In our pick analysis, we focus on three key data factors: win odds, pick popularity, and future value. The perfect Week 2 survivor pool pick has high win odds (i.e. it's a relatively safe pick), low pick popularity (because when an opponent picks a different team than you do, they can be eliminated while you advance), and low future value (i.e. they are pretty much usele s as a potential survivor pick in future weeks). No pick is perfect, and every week you need to balance tradeoffs between these three factors. Note: Pick Popularity numbers below refer to the estimated percentage of survivor pool entries nationwide that have already picked the team in question. Those numbers can shift over the week, so make sure to for the latest updates.Buffalo Bills vs. Las Vegas RaidersPick Popularity: 27% (Most popular team)Point Spread: -9.5The Bills are currently the most popular Week 2 survivor pool pick. While that should hold through the week, we have already seen the pick popularity gap between Buffalo and Dallas close since Tuesday morning, so Buffalo's popularity could drop a bit more by Sunday. (The public tends to react to whether a team just won or lost, and Buffalo just choked on Monday Night Football.)Right now, the Bills are also tied for the biggest favorite of the week with Dallas, as both teams are favored by 9.5 points.At current pick popularity, Buffalo grades as a pretty solid Week 2 pick. You might be inclined to save a team as good as the Bills are expected to be, but while Buffalo has had high future value in recent years in survivor pools, 2023 is a bit different. Other teams (Dallas, San Francisco) are moving up in our power ratings, and the Bills have a pretty tough future schedule.In fact, this is our highest projected win odds week for Sheldrick Redwine Jersey Buffalo all season, just ahead of Week 6 (vs. the Giants) and Week 8 (vs. the Bucs). The Bills dont have a lot of clear spots where they project as a great survivor pick during the late season, though they could still be useful as an emergency backup option in several future weeks. On balance, burning Buffalo this early wouldn't be a crazy move in certain pool scenarios.WEEK 2 FANTASY PPR RANKINGS: | | | | | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York JetsPick Popularity: 18%Point Spread: -9.5The Cowboys have jumped to being a 9.5-point favorite in the aftermath of their dominating performance against the Giants on Sunday Night Football coupled with the season-ending injury of Jets QB Aaron Rodgers. Ozzie Newsome Jersey So, from a safety perspective, they rank at the top of the Week 2 pick considerations.However, future value is also a concern. Dallas now looks like the most valuable team to save in 2023 survivor pools, just ahead of San Francisco, and it has some juicy matchups in the near term. They play the Cardinals next week, host the Patriots in Week 4, and have a midseason stretch where they play the Rams, Giants, Commanders, and Seahawks at home and the Panthers on the road. They could be favored by at least a touchdown in all of those weeks.WEEK 2 DFS LINEUPS: | New York Giants at Arizona CardinalsPick Popularity: 11%Point Spread: -5.5The Giants got crushed 40-0 last week by the Cowboys. Now, they face the seemingly woeful Cardinals on the road, a situation that presents an interesting decision. Favored by 5.5 points, the Giants are riskier than the other top pick options in Week 2, but they have e sentially zero future value. Just like last week's case for picking Washington against Arizona, this is the week to use the Giants if you are going to do so in your 2023 survivor pool.New York is also far le s popular of a pick than Washington was last week despite having only slightly lower win odds. Still, you probably can't justify taking this additional risk in some survivor pools, especially smaller pools that probably won't last the season, or in pools that don't require double picks later in the year. Otherwise, you can roll the dice now to save a bunch of better teams to use later in the season.MORE POOLGENIUS: San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles RamsPick Popularity: 10%Point Spread: -8.5The 49ers were impre sive last week, crushing Pittsburgh and never really being in danger. QB Brock Purdy immediately silenced the doubters by returning to Duke Johnson Jersey his form from last season, RB Christian McCaffrey made big plays, and the defense dominated. The 49ers are now an 8.5-point road favorite at the Rams and one of the bigger favorites in Week 2 just behind Buffalo and Dallas.Thanks in part to last Sunday's performance, San Francisco is also one of our highest future value teams in 2023 survivor pools (and they were already rated highly heading into the season). We now project that the 49ers will have six more weeks with win odds above 76 percent. That includes a Week 4 matchup with Arizona when the 49ers could conceivably be the biggest favorite we see during the entire 2023 NFL season. You should seriously consider those implications when deciding between survivor picks this week.FREE TRIAL: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Minnesota VikingsPick Popularity: 9%Point Spread: -7The Eagles are an interesting Week 2 survivor pick option hosting Minnesota, a team they dominated a year ago. Philadelphia is a touchdown favorite, which puts them just below Buffalo, San Francisco, and Dallas in terms of win odds, but it still grades out as a solid pick thanks to pick popularity and surprisingly low future value.The Eagles rate similarly to the Bills in future value. Like Buffalo, Philadelphia has a tough schedule in 2023, with a lot of their tougher matchups coming in the middle of the season. In fact, two of their most attractive matchups don't come until very late in the year (against the Giants in Week 16 and the Cardinals in Week 17), so those games might not even be relevant in smaller survivor pools that will probably have ended by then.The Eagles are also part of an interesting Week 2/Week 4 combo situation. Hosting Washington in Week 4, Philadelphia joins Dallas and San Francisco as the top projected favorites of that week, and all three of those teams are also top options this week. So, you should consider how you want to play Week 4 when you decide on your Week 2 pick.Get our Week 2 survivor pick for your pool! Understanding the impacts of key data metrics like win odds, pick popularity, and future value is the key to winning more NFL survivor pools over the long term. However, those impacts can also vary significantly based on the characteristics of your pool (e.g. its size and rules).As a result, it takes a lot of data, math, and time T. J. Carrie Jersey to figure out which Week 2 pick (or combination of picks, if you're playing multiple entries) will give you the biggest edge to win your 2023 survivor pool. That's why PoolGenius built the .It provides customized weekly pick advice using the latest matchup data, betting odds, and pick popularity trends. It calculated Expected Value and future value for every team. It tracks the picks you've already made and recommends how to split up your picks if you're playing multiple entries. It even includes a suite of tools to help you craft the smartest plan for your survivor picks in future weeks.Try it out using the links below, and good luck in your survivor pool(s) in Week 2!EXPERT PICKS: FREE TRIAL: SEASON DISCOUNTS: